Forecasting uses a limited data set of what has and is happening to predict what might happen next. Weather and avalanche forecasting in the mountains is quite difficult task to take on. Modern computers have greatly improved weather forecasting numerical models. Avalanche forecasting isn't quite there yet. Human analysis is still the best way but leaves room for errors.
The forecast file below is for a ski resort in Northern California. There was a significant storm going to impact the area and using that data students were tasked with coming up with avalanche problems to forecast for, their size and a plan to mitigate the problems while keeping workers safe. Photo is a typical remote weather station designed to record and transmit records of wind speed and direction, air temperature, and relative humidity. These are basic observations with which forecasters can make accurate decisions.
The forecast file below is for a ski resort in Northern California. There was a significant storm going to impact the area and using that data students were tasked with coming up with avalanche problems to forecast for, their size and a plan to mitigate the problems while keeping workers safe. Photo is a typical remote weather station designed to record and transmit records of wind speed and direction, air temperature, and relative humidity. These are basic observations with which forecasters can make accurate decisions.
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